|
|
Jerusalem Cloakroom #157
The Cost
of the Gaza and North Samaria Giveaway
by Yoram Ettinger
yoramtex@netvision.net.il
April 23, 2004
The US Shall Not Finance the Giveaway
-
FACT: President Bush has turned
down Prime Minister Sharon’s request for special financial assistance.
-
FACT: Israel’s best friends in
Congress - who possess the Power of the Purse - have advised Israel to refrain
from such a request. Congress operates within rigid budgetary caps, and under
the constraints of a $500BN deficit and mounting cost in Iraq, Afghanistan and
other sites of the war on global terrorism.
-
FACT: VP Cheney and Secretary
Rumsfeld counsel against such a request, that could raid the Pentagon’s own
budget, while financing an Israeli policy of retreat from terrorism, which
would constitute a tail wind to regional and anti-US terrorism.
-
FACT: President Clinton promised
Israel $800MN for the withdrawal from So. Lebanon. The funds have not been
extended.
The Immediate Cost
to Israelis - $7BN (Similar to the Annual Defense Budget!)
-
FACT: The cost of the Rafiah
Salient Giveaway (to Egypt) was 15BN shekels in June 1990 (3.30 shekels per
dollar), which is equal to 30BN shekels in 2004 (4.50 per dollar and a one
third decrease in the value of the dollar).
-
FACT: The cost of the Gaza and No.
Samaria Giveaway could skyrocket to 44BN shekels, since it pertains to 8,000
residents with a 30 year tenure, compared with 5,000 residents with a 5 year
tenure in Rafiah.
-
FACT: A minimalist estimate
(ignoring the Rafiah precedent) could bring the cost down to 26BN shekels:
13.5BN for homes (including furniture and improvements), a two year adjustment
payment and a 30 year compensation; 9.5BN shekels for jobs infrastructure; 3BN
Shekels for roads, communications, electricity, water, sewage, classrooms,
community structures and relocation of military installations.
-
FACT: The huge cost could halt the
current economic recovery, worsen unemployment, increase taxes, impose
mandatory government bonds, cut infrastructure expenditures, etc. The expected
rise in terrorism would impose further cost.
-
FACT: The added cost would not be
in return for a peace accord. Rather than Land for Peace, this one will
be Land for Nothing, or – probably – Land for Terrorism, or
Land for Recycled Non-Binding Friendly Presidential Declarations.
The Lethal Cost of
the Giveaway
-
Prime Minister Sharon: “Israeli
evacuation of Gaza...would transform Gaza’s main square to a launching
platform of missiles to Israel’s Ashqelon...Terrorism can be destroyed, if we
control its bases...In 1970, Gaza was controlled by terrorists, because Israel
evacuated the populated areas and the refugee camps...A flight from populated
areas, and a failure to annihilate of the threat in its incept, would require
a much longer and a more difficult effort...” (Ma’ariv, June 12, 1992).
Sharon’s recommendation is doubly relevant in 2004, with a less predictable
world (than in 1992), a more explosive Mideast, more armed rogue regimes, a
more horrific terrorism, and a systematically and terroristically
non-compliant PLO/PA.
-
FACT: Former Chmn of the Joint
Chiefs-of-Staff, General Earl Wheeler: “Occupation of the Gaza Strip by Israel
would reduce the hostile border by a factor of five, and eliminate a source
for raids and training of [Palestinian terrorists]...The Strip serves as a
salient for introduction of Arab subversion and terrorism, and its retention
would be to Israel’s military advantage...By occupying the Strip, Israel would
trade 45 miles of hostile border for eight.” (June 29, 1967 Memo on Israel
minimal requirements for security).
|