|
|
Jerusalem Cloakroom #151
THE JEWISH STATE AND A PALESTINIAN STATE:
|
||||||
|
The Mideast is the world's most violent
and unpredictable region, which requires preparedness for the worst-case
scenario, including an Eastern Front assault on Israel.
In 1967 Israel crashed Egypt, Syria and
Jordan, and grew over-confident that no Arab attack would be forthcoming. The
1973 War almost annihilated Israel.
Will the US be able to stabilize Iraq? Will Bush retreat from Iraq? Will his successor (in 2005 of 2009) retreat from Iraq? A US evacuation of Iraq could produce more terror than it intended to quell.
"Land Warfare Papers", US Army
(Oct. 2003): "The Gulf Wars (1991 and 2003) were not decided by bombs and
missiles, but by ground forces."
Missiles cause damage; they
don't bring enemies to submission. There is a marked difference between a
barrage of missiles on Tel Aviv, and the invasion of Arab tanks to Tel Aviv.
The centrality of ground forces
suggests the centrality of ground features (Topographic edge and geographic
depth).
The eastern mountain ridge of
J&S - rather than the Jordan Valley – constitutes the best tank obstacle in
the world (3,000 feet steep slope, controllable by a small force).
The western mountain ridge of
J&S (2,000 feet moderate slope overtowering Jerusalem, Tel Aviv and Haifa)
constitutes an invader's dream platform. A withdrawal from J&S would submit
the Jerusalem-Tel Aviv-Haifa area (80% of population) to daily terror.
The J&S mountain ridges
constitute the "Golan Heights" of Israel's Soft Belly.
Until 1967 Israel limited Jordan's military presence in J&S to 5,000, lest it becomes a lethal threat. The 40,000 armed Palestinian terrorists in J&S amount to 4 brigades. A withdrawal from J&S would make a 1973-style surprise Arab attack a lethal threat.
High-tech today becomes low-tech
tomorrow, but high-ground today remains high-ground tomorrow.
Every high-tech system is eventually
outflanked by an emerging system. The dominant mountain ridges of J&S can
never by outflanked by an emerging ground feature.
No nation alters its borders per technological developments.
Israel's margin of error is zero, and it
must win every war. J&S mountain ridges constitute Israel's insurance policy
against lethal human errors.
Is it logical to expect that the Arabs would accord to Israel that which they have denied each other (peace and compliance), while Israel shares with the Arabs that which it lacks (land)???
